Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Madureira and Vasco DA Gama enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 2 at odds of 1.55 (65% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Mon, 2nd Feb, 2026 Regular Season - 5
Madureira

Madureira

L W W L
FT
0 - 0
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

W D L W
65' Everton
74' Carlos Cuesta
90+3' Wallace
Prediction: 2 (1.55 Odds)
Away Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.25

Madureira

0.75

0.75 – 1.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.50

Estadio Conselheiro Galvao, Rio de Janeiro L. Coelho

Madureira

7.00

13% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

Vasco DA Gama

1.55

61% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.30 77%
Away Win Free

2

Odds 1.55 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama

32%   Possession   68%

2   Shots on Target   6

78%   Pass Accuracy   91%

4   Corner Kicks   3

16   Fouls   16

0 2 2
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

1

Madureira wins

2

Draws

5

Vasco DA Gama wins

2.1

Goals / game

38%

Both scored

38%

Over 2.5

24 Jan 2025
Vasco DA Gama
2-0
Madureira
26 Jan 2024
Vasco DA Gama
2-0
Madureira
14 Jan 2023
Vasco DA Gama
0-0
Madureira
06 Feb 2022
Madureira
1-3
Vasco DA Gama
08 May 2021
Vasco DA Gama
2-1
Madureira
01 May 2021
Madureira
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
27 Mar 2021
Vasco DA Gama
2-2
Madureira
02 Jul 2020
Vasco DA Gama
1-0
Madureira

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Madureira

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0-2 L
A Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1-1 D
H Boavista SC 0-0 D
A Boavista SC 2-0 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D
A Portuguesa RJ 0-1 W
A Bonsucesso 2-2 D
H Pouso Alegre 1-0 W
A Água Santa 4-1 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.25

Madureira

0.75

xG

Match

0.75 – 1.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.50

xG

Our tip model

16%
19%
65%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

13%
26%
61%
Madureira Draw Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Madureira Vasco DA Gama
46% Recent form 54%
36% Attack 64%
38% Defence 63%
18% Poisson 82%
7% Head-to-head 93%
18% Goals 82%
27% Overall 73%

Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Madureira Vasco DA Gama
4 Played 4
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
4 Goals for 7
5 Goals against 3
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.55 odds).

Madureira are rated 16% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Vasco DA Gama at 65%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 38% and over 2.5 in 38%.

Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama

Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.55 odds).

Who will win Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama?

Model lean: Madureira 16%, draw 19%, Vasco DA Gama 65%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 38% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 38% of the time.

When is Madureira vs Vasco DA Gama?

Monday, 2nd February 2026 at 23:00 UTC , Estadio Conselheiro Galvao.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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