Botafogo vs Fluminense

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Botafogo arrive in strong form (WLWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Fluminense at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Sun, 1st Feb, 2026 Regular Season - 5
Botafogo

Botafogo

W L W W
FT
0 - 1
Fluminense

Fluminense

W L W W
67' Jordan Barrera
69' John Kennedy
77' John Kennedy
79' Ignácio
89' Léo Linck
90+3' Santiago Rodríguez
Prediction: 1X (1.40 Odds)
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Botafogo

1.50

1.50 – 0.80

Fluminense

0.80

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro W. do Nascimento

Botafogo

2.70

34% implied

Draw

2.55

36% implied

Fluminense

3.20

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Botafogo vs Fluminense

49%   Possession   51%

0   Shots on Target   7

86%   Pass Accuracy   86%

3   Corner Kicks   4

16   Fouls   16

0 3 1
3 2 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

6

Botafogo wins

0

Draws

1

Fluminense wins

2.4

Goals / game

29%

Both scored

29%

Over 2.5

28 Sep 2025
Fluminense
2-0
Botafogo
27 Apr 2025
Botafogo
2-0
Fluminense
30 Jan 2025
Botafogo
2-1
Fluminense
21 Sep 2024
Fluminense
0-1
Botafogo
11 Jun 2024
Botafogo
1-0
Fluminense
03 Mar 2024
Fluminense
2-4
Botafogo
08 Oct 2023
Fluminense
0-2
Botafogo

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Botafogo

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atletico-MG 1-0 W
A Remo 2-1 L
A Internacional 3-0 L
H Chapecoense-sc 1-0 W
A Coritiba 1-1 D
H Vasco DA Gama 1-2 L
A Mirassol 2-0 L
H Gremio 3-2 W
H RB Bragantino 1-1 D
H Palmeiras 0-0 D

Fluminense

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitoria 0-3 W
H Internacional 2-1 W
A Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Palmeiras 1-2 L
A Flamengo 1-0 L
H Coritiba 4-0 W
A Corinthians 1-3 W
A Platense 2-1 L
A Atletico-MG 3-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.30

Botafogo

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 0.80

Fluminense

0.80

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

34%
36%
29%
Botafogo Draw Fluminense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Botafogo Fluminense
50% Recent form 50%
46% Attack 54%
71% Defence 29%
100% Poisson 0%
80% Head-to-head 20%
67% Goals 33%
63% Overall 37%

Double chance : Botafogo or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Botafogo Fluminense
4 Played 4
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
6 Goals for 7
2 Goals against 5
3 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Botafogo

Corinthians (A) 19 Nov MID
Sao Paulo (H) 23 Nov MID
Bahia (H) 29 Nov MID
Santos (A) 03 Dec MID

Fluminense

Sao Paulo (A) 20 Nov MID
Mirassol (H) 22 Nov MID
Cruzeiro (H) 27 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 03 Dec MID

Botafogo vs Fluminense: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Botafogo are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Fluminense at 13%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 29% and over 2.5 in 29%.

Double chance : Botafogo or draw

Botafogo vs Fluminense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Model lean: Botafogo 71%, draw 16%, Fluminense 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 29% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 29% of the time.

When is Botafogo vs Fluminense?

Sunday, 1st February 2026 at 23:30 UTC , Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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