Botafogo vs Bangu

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Botafogo arrive in strong form (WLW) and are well-fancied to back -3.5 against Bangu at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Sun, 25th Jan, 2026 Regular Season - 4
Botafogo

Botafogo

W L W
FT
2 - 0
Bangu

Bangu

W L W
19' Álvaro Montoro
21' Lucas Sibito
55' S. Rodriguez
75' Alex Telles
90' Kauan Guilherme
Prediction: -3.5 (1.40 Odds)
3 5 Goals 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Botafogo

1.00

1.00 – 1.05

Bangu

1.05

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro T. Caetano

Botafogo

1.27

73% implied

Draw

4.75

19% implied

Bangu

12.00

8% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Botafogo vs Bangu

77%   Possession   23%

11   Shots on Target   2

91%   Pass Accuracy   67%

9   Corner Kicks   4

10   Fouls   16

0 1 1
3 2 0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

4

Botafogo wins

2

Draws

0

Bangu wins

1.7

Goals / game

17%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

26 Jan 2025
Botafogo
2-0
Bangu
20 Jan 2024
Botafogo
2-0
Bangu
11 Feb 2023
Botafogo
2-0
Bangu
30 Jan 2022
Botafogo
2-0
Bangu
14 Mar 2021
Bangu
0-0
Botafogo
15 Mar 2020
Botafogo
1-1
Bangu

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Botafogo

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Atletico-MG 1-0 W
A Remo 2-1 L
A Internacional 3-0 L
H Chapecoense-sc 1-0 W
A Coritiba 1-1 D
H Vasco DA Gama 1-2 L
A Mirassol 2-0 L
H Gremio 3-2 W
H RB Bragantino 1-1 D
H Palmeiras 0-0 D

Bangu

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Olaria 1-1 D
A Olaria 2-0 L
A Botafogo 3-1 L
A Volta Redonda 1-1 D
H Volta Redonda 1-0 W
A Fluminense 3-1 L
H Boavista SC 1-1 D
A Nova Iguaçu 1-2 W
A Botafogo 2-0 L
A CFRJ / Maricá 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Botafogo

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.05

Bangu

1.05

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

73%
19%
8%
Botafogo Draw Bangu

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Botafogo Bangu
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
60% Defence 40%
100% Poisson 0%
93% Head-to-head 7%
100% Goals 0%
63% Overall 37%

Combo Double chance : Botafogo or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Botafogo Bangu
3 Played 3
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
4 Goals for 4
2 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Botafogo

Corinthians (A) 19 Nov MID
Sao Paulo (H) 23 Nov MID
Bahia (H) 29 Nov MID
Santos (A) 03 Dec MID

Botafogo vs Bangu: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.40 odds).

Botafogo are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Bangu at 10%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 17% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Combo Double chance : Botafogo or draw and -3.5 goals

Botafogo vs Bangu FAQs

What is the best prediction for Botafogo vs Bangu?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Botafogo vs Bangu?

Model lean: Botafogo 45%, draw 45%, Bangu 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 17% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Botafogo vs Bangu?

Sunday, 25th January 2026 at 00:00 UTC , Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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