Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Nova Iguaçu and Fluminense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.91 (52% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.
Brazil: Carioca - 1
Nova Iguaçu
3rd in table
Fluminense
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 2.50
Nova Iguaçu
1.50
1.50 – 1.00
Fluminense
1.00
Nova Iguaçu
4.5020% implied
Draw
3.4027% implied
Fluminense
1.7353% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
1X
Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense
38% Possession 62%
2 Shots on Target 9
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Corner Kicks 5
20 Fouls 17
0
Nova Iguaçu wins
0
Draws
5
Fluminense wins
2.2
Goals / game
20%
Both scored
40%
Over 2.5
Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portuguesa RJ
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 |
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 |
Nova Iguaçu
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |
CFRJ / Maricá
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pedro
|
Flamengo
|
6 |
| 2 |
Patryck Ferreira
|
Bangu
|
6 |
| 3 |
K. Serna
|
Fluminense
|
5 |
| 4 |
Luan
|
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
3 |
| 5 |
John Kennedy
|
Fluminense
|
3 |
| 6 |
Gutemberg
|
Portuguesa RJ
|
3 |
| 7 |
MV
|
Volta Redonda
|
3 |
| 8 |
Lohan
|
Portuguesa RJ
|
3 |
| 9 |
Rhuan
|
Portuguesa RJ
|
3 |
| 10 |
Lucas Paquetá
|
Flamengo
|
3 |
Nova Iguaçu
1.50
xG
Match
1.50 – 1.00
Fluminense
1.00
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Combo Double chance : Nova Iguaçu or draw and -3.5 goals
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
(A)
20 Nov
MID
Mirassol
(H)
22 Nov
MID
Cruzeiro
(H)
27 Nov
MID
RB Bragantino
(A)
03 Dec
MID
Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.91 odds).
Nova Iguaçu are rated 52% by our tip model, with the draw at 26% and Fluminense at 22%.
In the last 5 meetings they averaged 2.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 20% and over 2.5 in 40%.
Combo Double chance : Nova Iguaçu or draw and -3.5 goals
Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.91 odds).
Model lean: Nova Iguaçu 52%, draw 26%, Fluminense 22%.
Both teams scored in 20% of the last 5 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 2.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 40% of the time.
Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estadio Janio Moraes.
Nova Iguaçu and Fluminense enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.91 (52% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.
Teams: Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense
Date: Fri, Jan 23, 2026
Time: 00:30 UTC
Venue: Estadio Janio Moraes, Rio de Janeiro
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
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Joshua J
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict