Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Madureira and Sampaio Corrêa RJ enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 2.00 (50% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Thu, 22nd Jan, 2026 Regular Season - 3
Madureira

Madureira

L W
FT
2 - 1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

2nd in table

L W
16' Matheus Iacovelli
18' Rodrigo Dantas
29' Ricardo Oliveira
36' Pablo
40' Pablo
40' Pablo
43' Jacó
51' Alexandre Souza
57' Matheus Julião
66' Juninho
87' Paulo Victor
Prediction: yes (2.00 Odds)
BTTS/GG 50% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Madureira

1.00

1.00 – 1.50

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

1.50

Estadio Conselheiro Galvao, Rio de Janeiro J. Nascimento

Madureira

2.25

41% implied

Draw

3.00

31% implied

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

3.20

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.73 58%
BTTS/GG Free

yes

Odds 2.00 50%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ

63%   Possession   37%

8   Shots on Target   4

85%   Pass Accuracy   70%

5   Corner Kicks   2

18   Fouls   15

0 2 2
0 5 1

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

0

Madureira wins

0

Draws

4

Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins

3.3

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

15 Mar 2025
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
4-2
Madureira
12 Mar 2025
Madureira
1-2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
06 Feb 2025
Madureira
0-1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
14 Feb 2024
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2-1
Madureira

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Madureira

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0-2 L
A Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1-1 D
H Boavista SC 0-0 D
A Boavista SC 2-0 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D
A Portuguesa RJ 0-1 W
A Bonsucesso 2-2 D
H Pouso Alegre 1-0 W
A Água Santa 4-1 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Madureira 0-2 W
H Madureira 1-1 D
H Nova Iguaçu 2-1 W
A Nova Iguaçu 2-0 L
H São Gonçalo EC RJ 1-0 W
A São Gonçalo EC RJ 0-0 D
H Resende 2-0 W
A Resende 0-1 W
A Portuguesa 1-0 L
H Portuguesa 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Madureira

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 1.50

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

1.50

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

41%
31%
29%
Madureira Draw Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Madureira Sampaio Corrêa RJ
50% Recent form 50%
40% Attack 60%
67% Defence 33%
0% Head-to-head 100%
31% Goals 69%
47% Overall 53%

Double chance : draw or Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Madureira Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
2 Goals for 3
2 Goals against 4
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.00 odds).

Madureira are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ at 45%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : draw or Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ FAQs

What is the best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.00 odds).

Who will win Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Model lean: Madureira 10%, draw 45%, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Thursday, 22nd January 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estadio Conselheiro Galvao.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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