Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo is no, at odds of 1.44 with a 69% probability rating.

Brazil: Paulista - A1
Sun, 15th Feb, 2026 Regular Season - 8
Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

16th in table

L L D L L
FT
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

6th in table

D L L W W
39' Lucas Ramon
45+2' Lucas Cunha
45' Luciano
48' Jonathan Calleri
52' Bryan Borges
58' Enzo Díaz
74' Diego Leão
Prediction: no (1.44 Odds)
BTTS/GG 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Ponte Preta

1.50

1.50 – 1.00

Sao Paulo

1.00

Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas F. dos Santos

Ponte Preta

9.00

10% implied

Draw

5.00

18% implied

Sao Paulo

1.28

72% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Away Win Free

2

Odds 1.28 78%
BTTS/GG Free

no

Odds 1.44 69%
2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.85 54%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo

38%   Possession   62%

2   Shots on Target   5

73%   Pass Accuracy   84%

3   Corner Kicks   7

16   Fouls   10

0 2 3
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Ponte Preta wins

1

Draws

4

Sao Paulo wins

2.4

Goals / game

44%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

19 Feb 2025
Sao Paulo
1-2
Ponte Preta
10 Feb 2024
Ponte Preta
2-0
Sao Paulo
13 Feb 2022
Ponte Preta
1-2
Sao Paulo
01 Mar 2020
Sao Paulo
2-1
Ponte Preta
09 Sep 2017
Sao Paulo
2-2
Ponte Preta
04 Jun 2017
Ponte Preta
1-0
Sao Paulo
22 Oct 2016
Sao Paulo
2-0
Ponte Preta
03 Jul 2016
Ponte Preta
1-0
Sao Paulo
30 Aug 2015
Sao Paulo
3-0
Ponte Preta

Paulista - A1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Novorizontino
8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
2
Palmeiras
8 5 1 2 8:7 1 16
3
RB Bragantino
8 4 4 0 14:2 12 16
4
Portuguesa
8 5 0 3 11:7 4 15
5
Corinthians
8 4 2 2 10:6 4 14
6
Sao Paulo
8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
7
Capivariano
8 4 1 3 7:10 -3 13
8
Santos
8 3 3 2 12:7 5 12
9
Guarani Campinas
8 3 3 2 6:7 -1 12
10
Botafogo SP
8 3 2 3 5:9 -4 11
11
Mirassol
8 2 2 4 10:8 2 8
12
Primavera SP
8 2 2 4 14:15 -1 8
13
São Bernardo
8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
14
Noroeste
8 1 5 2 11:11 0 8
15
Velo Clube
8 1 2 5 2:13 -11 5
16
Ponte Preta
8 0 1 7 3:14 -11 1

Top scorers

Paulista - A1
# Player Team Goals
1
Robson
Novorizontino
7
2
J. López
Palmeiras
6
3
Romulo
Novorizontino
5
4
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
5
5
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
4
6
Gabriel Poveda
Primavera SP
4
7
Carlão
Noroeste
4
8
Everton
Portuguesa
3
9
Jhon Jhon
RB Bragantino
3
10
Rene
Portuguesa
3

Recent form

Ponte Preta

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Goias 1-0 L
A Criciuma 2-0 L
H Fortaleza EC 2-2 D
H Atletico Goianiense 1-1 D
A Novorizontino 5-1 L
H Juventude 0-2 L
A Cuiaba 2-0 L
A Botafogo SP 2-0 L
H CRB 1-0 W
A Londrina 6-0 L

Sao Paulo

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Corinthians 0-0 D
A Bahia 3-2 L
A Mirassol 1-1 D
H Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
H Vitoria 2-1 W
A Cruzeiro 2-0 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Internacional 1-0 W
H Boca Juniors 1-1 D
A Palmeiras 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Ponte Preta

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.00

Sao Paulo

1.00

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

10%
18%
72%
Ponte Preta Draw Sao Paulo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Ponte Preta Sao Paulo
13% Recent form 88%
20% Attack 80%
50% Defence 50%
49% Poisson 51%
50% Head-to-head 50%
53% Goals 47%
39% Overall 61%

Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
4

Side by side

Ponte Preta Sao Paulo
7 Played 7
0 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
6 Lost 3
2 Goals for 9
12 Goals against 11
0 Clean sheets 2
6 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Ponte Preta

Operario-PR (H) 12 Nov MID

Sao Paulo

Fluminense (H) 20 Nov MID
Botafogo (A) 23 Nov MID
Remo (H) 26 Nov MID
Atletico Paranaense (A) 03 Dec MID

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.44 odds).

Ponte Preta are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Sao Paulo at 45%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 44% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.44 odds).

Who will win Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?

Model lean: Ponte Preta 10%, draw 45%, Sao Paulo 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 44% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?

Sunday, 15th February 2026 at 23:30 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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