Noroeste vs Velo Clube

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Noroeste and Velo Clube enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.62 (62% probability) to edge the Paulista - A1 clash.

Brazil: Paulista - A1
Sun, 1st Feb, 2026 Regular Season - 6
Noroeste

Noroeste

14th in table

L D D D D
FT
2 - 0
Velo Clube

Velo Clube

15th in table

D W L L L
34' Ronaldo Alves
38' Rodrigo Alves
46' Pedro Felipe
56' Zé Mário
76' Karl Vedova Junior
85' Carlao
Prediction: X2 (1.62 Odds)
Double Chance 62% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.50

Noroeste

0.75

0.75 – 0.75

Velo Clube

0.75

Estadio Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru D. Marques

Noroeste

2.25

42% implied

Draw

3.00

31% implied

Velo Clube

3.50

27% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.48 68%
Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.62 62%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Noroeste vs Velo Clube

44%   Possession   56%

7   Shots on Target   7

76%   Pass Accuracy   82%

6   Corner Kicks   4

13   Fouls   15

0 1 1
3 3 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

2

Noroeste wins

2

Draws

3

Velo Clube wins

1.7

Goals / game

29%

Both scored

14%

Over 2.5

15 Jan 2025
Velo Clube
0-2
Noroeste
13 Apr 2024
Velo Clube
1-1
Noroeste
10 Apr 2024
Noroeste
0-1
Velo Clube
07 Feb 2024
Noroeste
0-1
Velo Clube
22 Mar 2023
Noroeste
0-0
Velo Clube
17 Mar 2023
Velo Clube
0-1
Noroeste
20 Jan 2023
Velo Clube
3-2
Noroeste

Paulista - A1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Novorizontino
8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
2
Palmeiras
8 5 1 2 8:7 1 16
3
RB Bragantino
8 4 4 0 14:2 12 16
4
Portuguesa
8 5 0 3 11:7 4 15
5
Corinthians
8 4 2 2 10:6 4 14
6
Sao Paulo
8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
7
Capivariano
8 4 1 3 7:10 -3 13
8
Santos
8 3 3 2 12:7 5 12
9
Guarani Campinas
8 3 3 2 6:7 -1 12
10
Botafogo SP
8 3 2 3 5:9 -4 11
11
Mirassol
8 2 2 4 10:8 2 8
12
Primavera SP
8 2 2 4 14:15 -1 8
13
São Bernardo
8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
14
Noroeste
8 1 5 2 11:11 0 8
15
Velo Clube
8 1 2 5 2:13 -11 5
16
Ponte Preta
8 0 1 7 3:14 -11 1

Top scorers

Paulista - A1
# Player Team Goals
1
Robson
Novorizontino
7
2
J. López
Palmeiras
6
3
Romulo
Novorizontino
5
4
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
5
5
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
4
6
Gabriel Poveda
Primavera SP
4
7
Carlão
Noroeste
4
8
Everton
Portuguesa
3
9
Jhon Jhon
RB Bragantino
3
10
Rene
Portuguesa
3

Recent form

Noroeste

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A São José EC 1-0 L
H São José EC 1-1 D
A Primavera SP 2-2 D
H Comercial 4-3 W
A União São João 1-1 D
H XV de Piracicaba 2-1 W
A XV de Piracicaba 1-1 D
H União São João 2-2 D
A Comercial 2-0 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-3 L

Velo Clube

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H São Luiz 2-1 W
H Água Santa 0-0 D
H CFRJ / Maricá 3-1 W
A Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1-0 L
H XV de Piracicaba 1-1 D
A Noroeste 3-0 L
H Nova Iguaçu 1-1 D
A Nova Iguaçu 0-0 D
H Noroeste 1-0 W
A XV de Piracicaba 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.50

Noroeste

0.75

xG

Match

0.75 – 0.75

Velo Clube

0.75

xG

Our tip model

17%
21%
62%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

42%
31%
27%
Noroeste Draw Velo Clube

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Noroeste Velo Clube
50% Recent form 50%
83% Attack 17%
40% Defence 60%
36% Poisson 64%
38% Head-to-head 62%
50% Goals 50%
50% Overall 51%

Combo Double chance : draw or Velo Clube and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Noroeste Velo Clube
5 Played 5
0 Won 1
4 Drawn 1
1 Lost 3
5 Goals for 1
6 Goals against 4
0 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 4

Noroeste vs Velo Clube: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Noroeste are rated 17% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Velo Clube at 62%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 29% and over 2.5 in 14%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Velo Clube and -3.5 goals

Noroeste vs Velo Clube FAQs

What is the best prediction for Noroeste vs Velo Clube?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Who will win Noroeste vs Velo Clube?

Model lean: Noroeste 17%, draw 21%, Velo Clube 62%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 29% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 14% of the time.

When is Noroeste vs Velo Clube?

Sunday, 1st February 2026 at 22:30 UTC , Estadio Alfredo de Castilho.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links