Corinthians vs Capivariano

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Corinthians and Capivariano enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Paulista - A1 clash.

Brazil: Paulista - A1
Thu, 5th Feb, 2026 Regular Season - 6
Corinthians

Corinthians

5th in table

W L D D W
FT
3 - 0
Capivariano

Capivariano

7th in table

L W W D L
23' Guilherme
54' Dieguinho
56' Octavio Metzker
58' Wendel Lomar
65' Gui Negao
78' Vinicius Popó
80' Kayke
82' Matheus Pereira
88' Matheus Bidu
Prediction: 1 (1.57 Odds)
Home Win 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

Corinthians

2.25

2.25 – 0.50

Capivariano

0.50

Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo D. C. Muniz dos Santos

Corinthians

1.57

59% implied

Draw

4.10

23% implied

Capivariano

5.25

18% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.30 77%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.57 64%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Corinthians vs Capivariano

63%   Possession   37%

8   Shots on Target   1

89%   Pass Accuracy   78%

12   Corner Kicks   6

6   Fouls   9

0 2 4
3 4 0

Paulista - A1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Novorizontino
8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
2
Palmeiras
8 5 1 2 8:7 1 16
3
RB Bragantino
8 4 4 0 14:2 12 16
4
Portuguesa
8 5 0 3 11:7 4 15
5
Corinthians
8 4 2 2 10:6 4 14
6
Sao Paulo
8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
7
Capivariano
8 4 1 3 7:10 -3 13
8
Santos
8 3 3 2 12:7 5 12
9
Guarani Campinas
8 3 3 2 6:7 -1 12
10
Botafogo SP
8 3 2 3 5:9 -4 11
11
Mirassol
8 2 2 4 10:8 2 8
12
Primavera SP
8 2 2 4 14:15 -1 8
13
São Bernardo
8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
14
Noroeste
8 1 5 2 11:11 0 8
15
Velo Clube
8 1 2 5 2:13 -11 5
16
Ponte Preta
8 0 1 7 3:14 -11 1

Top scorers

Paulista - A1
# Player Team Goals
1
Robson
Novorizontino
7
2
J. López
Palmeiras
6
3
Romulo
Novorizontino
5
4
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
5
5
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
4
6
Gabriel Poveda
Primavera SP
4
7
Carlão
Noroeste
4
8
Everton
Portuguesa
3
9
Jhon Jhon
RB Bragantino
3
10
Rene
Portuguesa
3

Recent form

Corinthians

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Sao Paulo 0-0 D
H Mirassol 2-0 W
A Vasco DA Gama 3-2 L
H Vitoria 1-1 D
A Palmeiras 4-1 L
A Internacional 2-1 L
H Fluminense 1-3 L
H Estudiantes L.P. 0-1 L
A Flamengo 2-1 L
A Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 D

Capivariano

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Palmeiras 4-0 L
A Botafogo SP 0-1 W
H Mirassol 1-0 W
A Corinthians 3-0 L
H Primavera SP 1-2 L
A Noroeste 1-1 D
H Ponte Preta 2-0 W
H Portuguesa 1-0 W
A São Bernardo 4-0 L
A Primavera SP 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

Corinthians

2.25

xG

Match

2.25 – 0.50

Capivariano

0.50

xG

Our tip model

64%
20%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

59%
23%
18%
Corinthians Draw Capivariano

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Corinthians Capivariano
53% Recent form 47%
55% Attack 45%
58% Defence 42%
91% Poisson 9%
64% Overall 36%

Winner : Corinthians

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1

Side by side

Corinthians Capivariano
5 Played 5
2 Won 2
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
6 Goals for 5
5 Goals against 7
2 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Corinthians

Botafogo (H) 19 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 25 Nov MID
Gremio (H) 29 Nov MID
Remo (A) 03 Dec MID

Corinthians vs Capivariano: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Corinthians are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Capivariano at 16%.

Winner : Corinthians

Corinthians vs Capivariano FAQs

What is the best prediction for Corinthians vs Capivariano?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Corinthians vs Capivariano?

Model lean: Corinthians 64%, draw 20%, Capivariano 16%.

When is Corinthians vs Capivariano?

Thursday, 5th February 2026 at 23:30 UTC , Neo Quimica Arena.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links