Lillestrom vs Aalesund

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lillestrom arrive in strong form (LDWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Aalesund at Åråsen Stadion, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

Norway: Eliteserien
Sun, 8th Nov, 2026 Regular Season - 26
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

4th in table

L D W W W
FT
3 - 2
Aalesund

Aalesund

14th in table

W L W L L
11' Ruben Gabrielsen
18' Marcus Reed
37' Marcus Reed
51' Henrik Molvaer Melland
56' Hans Erik Ødegaard
59' Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
78' Kristoffer Nesso
89' Ruben Gabrielsen
Prediction: 1X (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Lillestrom

1.85

1.85 – 1.45

Aalesund

1.45

Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom Stian Rovig Sletner

Lillestrom

1.80

53% implied

Draw

4.20

23% implied

Aalesund

3.80

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.28 78%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Lillestrom vs Aalesund

58%   Possession   42%

5   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

13   Corner Kicks   3

10   Fouls   12

0 1 0
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

6

Lillestrom wins

2

Draws

1

Aalesund wins

3.6

Goals / game

67%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

15 Mar 2026
Aalesund
1-3
Lillestrom
10 Aug 2025
Lillestrom
5-1
Aalesund
31 Mar 2025
Aalesund
2-2
Lillestrom
03 Sep 2023
Aalesund
1-1
Lillestrom
19 Jul 2023
Lillestrom
5-1
Aalesund
06 Nov 2022
Aalesund
2-1
Lillestrom
29 Jun 2022
Lillestrom
1-0
Aalesund
28 Apr 2022
Lillestrom
2-0
Aalesund
30 Oct 2017
Lillestrom
4-0
Aalesund

Eliteserien table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Viking
26 20 2 4 69:27 42 62
2
Bodo/Glimt
26 20 2 4 63:23 40 62
3
Rosenborg
26 14 4 8 53:32 21 46
4
Lillestrom
26 14 3 9 39:35 4 45
5
Molde
26 13 5 8 64:44 20 44
6
Tromso
26 11 7 8 43:40 3 40
7
Brann
26 10 3 13 47:44 3 33
8
Valerenga
25 9 5 11 43:46 -3 32
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF
26 8 7 11 32:42 -10 31
10
KFUM Oslo
26 8 7 11 33:46 -13 31
11
Ham-Kam
26 8 6 12 38:53 -15 30
12
Fredrikstad
26 8 6 12 31:46 -15 30
13
Sandefjord
26 7 7 12 31:39 -8 28
14
Aalesund
26 5 9 12 45:60 -15 24
15
Kristiansund BK
25 6 5 14 29:51 -22 23
16
Start
26 5 4 17 27:59 -32 19

Top scorers

Eliteserien
# Player Team Goals
1
P. Christiansen
Viking
18
2
Amin Chiakha
Rosenborg
18
3
K. Lonebu
Molde
15
4
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
13
5
L. Alvheim
Kristiansund BK
12
6
L. Haren
Valerenga
11
7
M. Christensen
Aalesund
11
8
E. Breivik
Molde
10
9
H. Larsen
Tromso
10
10
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Viking
9

Recent form

Lillestrom

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Aalesund 3-2 W
H Plzen 0-1 L
A Start 0-1 W
H Sogndal 2-1 W
H Brann 3-2 W
H Real Sociedad 0-6 L
A Sandefjord 0-2 W
A Sparta Praha 1-1 D
H Molde 2-2 D
A Bærum 1-5 W

Aalesund

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Lillestrom 3-2 L
H Sandefjord 3-4 L
A Kristiansund BK 0-2 W
A Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 L
A Kristiansund BK 1-4 W
H Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 L
A Molde 1-2 W
A KFUM Oslo 2-1 L
H Start 2-0 W
A Viking 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Lillestrom

1.85

xG

Match

1.85 – 1.45

Aalesund

1.45

xG

Our tip model

78%
12%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

53%
23%
25%
Lillestrom Draw Aalesund

Most likely scores

2:1

10.5%

1:1

10%

3:1

8.3%

2:2

8.3%

2:0

7.7%

1:0

6.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 93%
Over 2.5 goals 75%
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 74%

Team comparison

Lillestrom Aalesund
63% Recent form 38%
40% Attack 60%
63% Defence 37%
56% Poisson 44%
85% Head-to-head 15%
73% Goals 27%
63% Overall 37%

Double chance : Lillestrom or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

6
0-15'
6
8
16-30'
8
1
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
10
5
61-75'
4
11
76-90'
10
7
0-15'
7
6
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
9
5
46-60'
11
2
61-75'
10
8
76-90'
11

Side by side

Lillestrom Aalesund
25 Played 25
13 Won 5
3 Drawn 9
9 Lost 11
36 Goals for 43
33 Goals against 57
8 Clean sheets 1
7 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Lillestrom

Sarpsborg 08 FF (A) 22 Nov MID
Lyon (A) 26 Nov MID
Ham-Kam (H) 30 Nov EASY
Kristiansund BK (A) 06 Dec EASY

Aalesund

Rosenborg (H) 22 Nov HARD
Fredrikstad (A) 29 Nov EASY
Bodo/Glimt (H) 05 Dec HARD
Brann (A) 13 Dec MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 2.5 1.33
75% implied
Under 2.5 3.40
29% implied
Over 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 29.00
3% implied
Over 8.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 2.75
36% implied
Under 4.5 1.40
71% implied
Over 7.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 5.5 4.50
22% implied
Under 5.5 1.18
85% implied
Over 6.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 6.5 1.07
93% implied
Yes 1.36
74% implied
No 3.00
33% implied
Home/Draw 1.22
82% implied
Home/Away 1.20
83% implied
Draw/Away 2.05
49% implied
1:0 15.00
7% implied
2:0 13.00
8% implied
2:1 9.50
11% implied
3:0 17.00
6% implied
3:1 12.00
8% implied
3:2 15.00
7% implied
4:0 26.00
4% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 29.00
3% implied
1:1 10.00
10% implied
2:2 12.00
8% implied
0:1 23.00
4% implied
0:2 29.00
3% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 15.00
7% implied
1:3 26.00
4% implied
2:3 23.00
4% implied
3:3 26.00
4% implied
0:4 81.00
1% implied
1:4 51.00
2% implied
2:4 41.00
2% implied
4:2 23.00
4% implied
0:5 201.00
1:5 101.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 26.00
4% implied
Draw/Away 10.00
10% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00
13% implied
Home/Home 2.60
38% implied
Draw/Home 5.50
18% implied
Away/Home 17.00
6% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 6.50
15% implied
Home -1.25 2.35
43% implied
Away -1.25 1.58
63% implied
Home -1 2.08
48% implied
Away -1 1.72
58% implied
Home -0.75 1.82
55% implied
Away -0.75 1.98
51% implied
Home -0.5 1.68
60% implied
Away -0.5 2.15
47% implied
Home -0.25 1.50
67% implied
Away -0.25 2.50
40% implied
Home +0 1.32
76% implied
Away +0 3.30
30% implied
Home +0.25 1.27
79% implied
Away +0.25 3.55
28% implied
Home +0.5 1.24
81% implied
Away +0.5 3.90
26% implied
Home +0.75 1.17
85% implied
Away +0.75 5.00
20% implied
Home -2 3.80
26% implied
Away -2 1.25
80% implied
Home +1 1.10
91% implied
Away +1 6.80
15% implied
Home -1.75 3.00
33% implied
Away -1.75 1.38
72% implied
Over 11.5 1.73
58% implied
Under 11.5 2.00
50% implied
Over 12 1.98
51% implied
Under 12 1.82
55% implied

Lillestrom vs Aalesund: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Lillestrom are rated 78% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Aalesund at 10%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.6 goals per game, with BTTS in 67% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Lillestrom or draw

Lillestrom vs Aalesund FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Model lean: Lillestrom 78%, draw 12%, Aalesund 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 67% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Åråsen Stadion.

More Eliteserien predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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