FC Porto vs Benfica

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

FC Porto and Benfica enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Wed, 14th Jan, 2026 Quarter-finals
FC Porto

FC Porto

W W W
FT
1 - 0
Benfica

Benfica

W W W
-5' Gabri Veiga
-5' Gianluca Prestianni
15' J. Bednarek
39' Richard Ríos
45+7' Jan Bednarek
45+3' Samu Aghehowa
45+3' Amar Dedić
45+2' Vangelis Pavlidis
68' Pepê
68' Tomás Araújo
85' Rodrigo Mora
90+7' Leandro Barreiro
Prediction: X2 (1.67 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

FC Porto

1.80

1.80 – 1.25

Benfica

1.25

Estádio do Dragão, Porto Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal

FC Porto

2.20

42% implied

Draw

3.20

29% implied

Benfica

3.20

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.36 74%
Free Tip Lost

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.36 74%
Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

FC Porto vs Benfica

47%   Possession   53%

5   Shots on Target   3

81%   Pass Accuracy   84%

7   Corner Kicks   3

14   Fouls   12

0 5 1
1 6 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

2

FC Porto wins

1

Draws

4

Benfica wins

3

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

57%

Over 2.5

05 Oct 2025
FC Porto
0-0
Benfica
06 Apr 2025
FC Porto
1-4
Benfica
10 Nov 2024
Benfica
4-1
FC Porto
03 Mar 2024
FC Porto
5-0
Benfica
29 Sep 2023
Benfica
1-0
FC Porto
09 Aug 2023
Benfica
2-0
FC Porto
07 Apr 2023
Benfica
1-2
FC Porto

Recent form

FC Porto

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitória SC 1-2 W
H Napoli 4-1 W
H Estoril 4-0 W
H Academico Viseu 1-0 W
A GIL Vicente 0-1 W
H PSV Eindhoven 0-1 L
A Real Betis 3-2 L
A Maritimo 1-2 W
A Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 W
H Benfica 3-1 W

Benfica

9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Estrela 2-3 W
H Lech Poznan 3-1 W
H Alverca 1-0 W
H GIL Vicente 4-1 W
A Santa Clara 1-2 W
A Omonia Nicosia 1-4 W
H Celtic 4-1 W
H Vitória SC 2-0 W
A FC Porto 3-1 L
A AC Milan 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.05

FC Porto

1.80

xG

Match

1.80 – 1.25

Benfica

1.25

xG

Our tip model

18%
22%
60%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

42%
29%
29%
FC Porto Draw Benfica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

FC Porto Benfica
50% Recent form 50%
65% Attack 35%
0% Defence 100%
0% Poisson 100%
29% Head-to-head 71%
44% Goals 56%
47% Overall 53%

Double chance : draw or Benfica

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

FC Porto Benfica
3 Played 3
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
11 Goals for 6
1 Goals against 0
2 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

FC Porto

Paredes (H) 20 Nov MID
Feyenoord (A) 24 Nov MID
Sporting CP (H) 29 Nov MID
Santa Clara (A) 06 Dec MID

Benfica

Torreense (A) 22 Nov MID
Plzen (A) 26 Nov MID
Famalicao (H) 30 Nov MID
Nacional (A) 06 Dec MID

FC Porto vs Benfica: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.67 odds).

FC Porto are rated 18% by our tip model, with the draw at 22% and Benfica at 60%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 57%.

Double chance : draw or Benfica

FC Porto vs Benfica FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.67 odds).

Who will win FC Porto vs Benfica?

Model lean: FC Porto 18%, draw 22%, Benfica 60%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 57% of the time.

When is FC Porto vs Benfica?

Wednesday, 14th January 2026 at 20:45 UTC .

Match Preview

FC Porto and Benfica enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Taça de Portugal clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: FC Porto vs Benfica 

Date: Wed, Jan 14, 2026

Time: 20:45 UTC 

Venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Check our prediction page now to see the complete FC Porto vs Benfica prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

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Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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