Phoenix Rising vs Lexington

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington is 2, at odds of 2.62 with a 38% probability rating.

USA: USL Championship
Sun, 25th Oct, 2026 Group Stage
Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

L L L W W
FT
3 - 3
Lexington

Lexington

W W W D W
10' I. Sacko
29' G. Studenhofft
45' P. Goodrum
53' P. Goodrum
65' B. P. Rodrigues
70' J. Moursou
74' L. Biasi
75' A. Essengue
77' A. Molloy
84' P. Mar Boye
88' B. P. Rodrigues
89' N. Okello
Prediction: 2 (2.62 Odds) Lost
Away Win 38% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Phoenix Rising

1.75

1.75 – 1.65

Lexington

1.65

Wild Horse Pass Stadium N. Bensalah

Phoenix Rising

2.20

41% implied

Draw

3.60

25% implied

Lexington

2.62

34% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.57 64%
Away Win Lost

2

Odds 2.62 38%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

0

Phoenix Rising wins

0

Draws

3

Lexington wins

1.3

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

08 Aug 2026
Lexington
1-0
Phoenix Rising
09 Aug 2025
Lexington
2-0
Phoenix Rising
05 Jul 2025
Phoenix Rising
0-1
Lexington

USL Championship table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
30 18 7 5 52:26 26 61
2
Charleston Battery
30 16 5 9 56:35 21 53
3
Detroit City
30 14 9 7 34:21 13 51
4
Louisville City
30 13 8 9 51:43 8 47
5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 13 6 11 33:30 3 45
6
Hartford Athletic
30 10 13 7 35:33 2 43
7
Rhode Island
30 12 6 12 42:33 9 42
8
Miami FC
30 9 9 12 39:49 -10 36
9
Indy Eleven
30 9 7 14 35:41 -6 34
10
Loudoun United
30 6 13 11 38:48 -10 31
11
Birmingham Legion
30 6 12 12 40:46 -6 30
12
Brooklyn
30 5 6 19 34:63 -29 21
13
Sporting JAX
30 3 5 22 32:78 -46 14

Top scorers

USL Championship
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Locadia
Miami FC
6
2
A. Méndez
El Paso Locomotive
2
3
Pedro Santos
Loudoun United
0
4
J. Soñora
Miami FC
0
5
Mattheus Oliveira
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0

Recent form

Phoenix Rising

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A New Mexico United 2-0 L
H Lexington 3-3 D
A Orange County SC 1-3 W
H Las Vegas Lights 3-2 W
A New Mexico United 2-1 L
A Oakland Roots 3-0 L
H El Paso Locomotive 1-3 L
H FC Tulsa 2-1 W
A Monterey Bay 1-1 D
H Indy Eleven 2-1 W

Lexington

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Phoenix Rising 3-3 D
A Las Vegas Lights 3-5 W
H FC Tulsa 0-0 D
H El Paso Locomotive 3-1 W
A Monterey Bay 2-3 W
H Orange County SC 6-0 W
A Oakland Roots 1-4 W
A Sporting JAX 3-2 L
H Colorado Springs 0-1 L
A New Mexico United 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Phoenix Rising

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.65

Lexington

1.65

xG

Our tip model

28%
34%
38%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

41%
25%
34%
Phoenix Rising Draw Lexington

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Phoenix Rising Lexington
32% Recent form 68%
32% Attack 68%
35% Defence 65%
47% Poisson 53%
0% Head-to-head 100%
0% Goals 100%
37% Overall 64%

Combo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

7
0-15'
8
5
16-30'
5
7
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
8
7
61-75'
12
11
76-90'
13
7
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
6
8
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
8
11
76-90'
11

Side by side

Phoenix Rising Lexington
29 Played 29
10 Won 14
9 Drawn 5
10 Lost 10
42 Goals for 54
43 Goals against 36
5 Clean sheets 10
6 Failed to score 7

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.62 odds).

Phoenix Rising are rated 28% by our tip model, with the draw at 34% and Lexington at 38%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 1.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goals

Phoenix Rising vs Lexington FAQs

What is the best prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (2.62 odds).

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Model lean: Phoenix Rising 28%, draw 34%, Lexington 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Lexington?

Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 02:00 UTC , Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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