Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.50 (67% probability) to edge the USL Championship clash.

USA: USL Championship
Sun, 25th Oct, 2026 Group Stage
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

L L W L L
FT
2 - 1
Las Vegas Lights

Las Vegas Lights

D L W L L
44' J. Garcia
71' F. Barajas
74' O. Glasgow
78' S. Ritchie
79' M. Ybarra
80' M. Ybarra
88' S. Lletget
90+1' N. Jones
90+1' D. Otoya
90+1' O. Glasgow
90+3' F. Barajas
90+3' F. Barajas
Prediction: X2 (1.50 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.10

Monterey Bay

1.55

1.55 – 1.55

Las Vegas Lights

1.55

Cardinale Stadium B. Frey

Monterey Bay

2.38

38% implied

Draw

3.60

25% implied

Las Vegas Lights

2.38

38% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.50 67%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Monterey Bay wins

2

Draws

4

Las Vegas Lights wins

2.9

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

12 Jul 2026
Monterey Bay
2-3
Las Vegas Lights
29 Mar 2026
Las Vegas Lights
1-0
Monterey Bay
26 Oct 2025
Monterey Bay
1-1
Las Vegas Lights
15 Jun 2025
Las Vegas Lights
2-0
Monterey Bay
15 Sep 2024
Las Vegas Lights
0-0
Monterey Bay
14 Apr 2024
Monterey Bay
3-1
Las Vegas Lights
17 Sep 2023
Monterey Bay
3-2
Las Vegas Lights
11 Jun 2023
Las Vegas Lights
1-2
Monterey Bay
28 Sep 2022
Las Vegas Lights
4-0
Monterey Bay

USL Championship table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
30 18 7 5 52:26 26 61
2
Charleston Battery
30 16 5 9 56:35 21 53
3
Detroit City
30 14 9 7 34:21 13 51
4
Louisville City
30 13 8 9 51:43 8 47
5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 13 6 11 33:30 3 45
6
Hartford Athletic
30 10 13 7 35:33 2 43
7
Rhode Island
30 12 6 12 42:33 9 42
8
Miami FC
30 9 9 12 39:49 -10 36
9
Indy Eleven
30 9 7 14 35:41 -6 34
10
Loudoun United
30 6 13 11 38:48 -10 31
11
Birmingham Legion
30 6 12 12 40:46 -6 30
12
Brooklyn
30 5 6 19 34:63 -29 21
13
Sporting JAX
30 3 5 22 32:78 -46 14

Top scorers

USL Championship
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Locadia
Miami FC
6
2
A. Méndez
El Paso Locomotive
2
3
Pedro Santos
Loudoun United
0
4
J. Soñora
Miami FC
0
5
Mattheus Oliveira
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0

Recent form

Monterey Bay

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Las Vegas Lights 2-1 W
H Colorado Springs 0-1 L
A New Mexico United 3-1 L
A Orange County SC 1-2 W
H Lexington 2-3 L
A Charleston Battery 1-0 L
H Phoenix Rising 1-1 D
H Sacramento Republic 1-1 D
A Rhode Island 3-1 L
A Oakland Roots 1-1 D

Las Vegas Lights

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Monterey Bay 2-1 L
H Lexington 3-5 L
A Phoenix Rising 3-2 L
H San Antonio 1-0 W
A Sacramento Republic 3-2 L
H Hartford Athletic 1-1 D
A Orange County SC 0-2 W
H New Mexico United 1-2 L
H Charleston Battery 0-2 L
A Lexington 2-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.10

Monterey Bay

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 1.55

Las Vegas Lights

1.55

xG

Our tip model

15%
18%
67%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

38%
25%
38%
Monterey Bay Draw Las Vegas Lights

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Monterey Bay Las Vegas Lights
43% Recent form 57%
36% Attack 64%
57% Defence 43%
45% Poisson 55%
15% Head-to-head 85%
30% Goals 70%
38% Overall 62%

Double chance : draw or Las Vegas Lights

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
6
4
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
10
6
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
6
10
76-90'
10
5
0-15'
5
10
16-30'
7
3
31-45'
10
12
46-60'
10
8
61-75'
5
11
76-90'
7

Side by side

Monterey Bay Las Vegas Lights
29 Played 29
5 Won 10
6 Drawn 6
18 Lost 13
30 Goals for 40
51 Goals against 46
4 Clean sheets 8
9 Failed to score 4

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Monterey Bay are rated 15% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Las Vegas Lights at 67%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : draw or Las Vegas Lights

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Model lean: Monterey Bay 15%, draw 18%, Las Vegas Lights 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 02:00 UTC , Cardinale Stadium.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links