Miami FC vs Sporting JAX

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Miami FC and Sporting JAX enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.75 (57% probability) to edge the USL Championship clash.

USA: USL Championship
Wed, 30th Sep, 2026 Group Stage
Miami FC

Miami FC

8th in table

L D D W W
FT
4 - 1
Sporting JAX

Sporting JAX

13th in table

L W L L L
29' R. Edwards
35' W. Ackwei
38' A. Rocha
42' C. D. Milanes Navarro
43' Jean Mota
52' H. Neville
66' J. Rossiter
80' M. Tunbridge
82' A. Milesi
85' C. D. Milanes Navarro
88' Jean Mota
Prediction: 1 (1.75 Odds)
Home Win 57% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Miami FC

2.05

2.05 – 1.30

Sporting JAX

1.30

Riccardo Silva Stadium A. Hadzic

Miami FC

1.75

51% implied

Draw

3.70

24% implied

Sporting JAX

3.60

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.75 57%
Super Single Free

1

Odds 1.75 57%

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

2

Miami FC wins

0

Draws

0

Sporting JAX wins

3.5

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

25 Apr 2026
Sporting JAX
0-1
Miami FC
25 Mar 2026
Sporting JAX
2-4
Miami FC

USL Championship table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
30 18 7 5 52:26 26 61
2
Charleston Battery
30 16 5 9 56:35 21 53
3
Detroit City
30 14 9 7 34:21 13 51
4
Louisville City
30 13 8 9 51:43 8 47
5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 13 6 11 33:30 3 45
6
Hartford Athletic
30 10 13 7 35:33 2 43
7
Rhode Island
30 12 6 12 42:33 9 42
8
Miami FC
30 9 9 12 39:49 -10 36
9
Indy Eleven
30 9 7 14 35:41 -6 34
10
Loudoun United
30 6 13 11 38:48 -10 31
11
Birmingham Legion
30 6 12 12 40:46 -6 30
12
Brooklyn
30 5 6 19 34:63 -29 21
13
Sporting JAX
30 3 5 22 32:78 -46 14

Top scorers

USL Championship
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Locadia
Miami FC
6
2
A. Méndez
El Paso Locomotive
2
3
Pedro Santos
Loudoun United
0
4
J. Soñora
Miami FC
0
5
Mattheus Oliveira
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0

Recent form

Miami FC

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Louisville City 3-2 L
H Charleston Battery 1-2 L
H Loudoun United 0-2 L
A Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 W
H Sporting JAX 4-1 W
A Indy Eleven 0-2 W
A Rhode Island 1-2 W
A Brooklyn 1-1 D
H Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-2 D
A Charleston Battery 5-0 L

Sporting JAX

2 W 0 D 8 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 L
H Louisville City 0-2 L
H Birmingham Legion 0-1 L
A Miami FC 4-1 L
H Loudoun United 1-4 L
A Hartford Athletic 2-0 L
H Rhode Island 0-3 L
H Lexington 3-2 W
A Brooklyn 4-1 L
A Birmingham Legion 2-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.35

Miami FC

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 1.30

Sporting JAX

1.30

xG

Our tip model

57%
24%
19%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

51%
24%
25%
Miami FC Draw Sporting JAX

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Miami FC Sporting JAX
73% Recent form 27%
58% Attack 42%
63% Defence 38%
67% Poisson 33%
100% Head-to-head 0%
71% Goals 29%
66% Overall 34%

Double chance : Miami FC or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
4
8
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
4
9
76-90'
8
5
0-15'
11
5
16-30'
9
8
31-45'
9
8
46-60'
13
6
61-75'
7
11
76-90'
20

Side by side

Miami FC Sporting JAX
26 Played 26
7 Won 3
9 Drawn 5
10 Lost 18
32 Goals for 31
43 Goals against 69
7 Clean sheets 0
10 Failed to score 10

Miami FC vs Sporting JAX: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.75 odds).

Miami FC are rated 57% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Sporting JAX at 19%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Miami FC or draw

Miami FC vs Sporting JAX FAQs

What is the best prediction for Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.75 odds).

Who will win Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?

Model lean: Miami FC 57%, draw 24%, Sporting JAX 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?

Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 23:00 UTC , Riccardo Silva Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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