Derry City vs Dundalk

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk is 1, at odds of 1.80 with a 56% probability rating.

Ireland: Premier Division
Fri, 23rd Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 35
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table

W D W L W
FT
2 - 1
Dundalk

Dundalk

6th in table

D L L L D
12' James Clarke
43' Darragh Burns
53' Keith Buckley
59' Trevor Clarke
71' Michael Duffy
79' shane tracey
89' Ellis Chapman
Prediction: 1 (1.80 Odds) Won
Home Win 56% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.95

Derry City

1.65

1.65 – 1.30

Dundalk

1.30

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry M. Lynch

Derry City

1.80

50% implied

Draw

3.50

26% implied

Dundalk

3.80

24% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.53 65%
Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.80 56%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Derry City vs Dundalk

53%   Possession   47%

8   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   5

11   Fouls   13

0 2 5
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Derry City wins

4

Draws

1

Dundalk wins

3.3

Goals / game

78%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

06 Sep 2026
Derry City
4-2
Dundalk
29 May 2026
Dundalk
2-1
Derry City
10 Apr 2026
Dundalk
2-2
Derry City
13 Feb 2026
Derry City
2-2
Dundalk
18 Oct 2024
Dundalk
0-2
Derry City
09 Aug 2024
Derry City
1-1
Dundalk
31 May 2024
Dundalk
0-0
Derry City
05 Apr 2024
Derry City
4-1
Dundalk
01 Sep 2023
Dundalk
1-3
Derry City

Premier Division table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
36 20 8 8 59:38 21 68
2
Bohemians
36 19 8 9 63:44 19 65
3
St Patrick's Athl.
36 17 9 10 55:31 24 60
4
Shelbourne
36 12 13 11 52:50 2 49
5
Derry City
36 11 15 10 50:47 3 48
6
Dundalk
36 11 12 13 55:59 -4 45
7
Waterford
36 10 13 13 54:61 -7 43
8
Galway United
36 10 12 14 46:53 -7 42
9
Drogheda United
36 10 10 16 44:57 -13 40
10
Sligo Rovers
36 5 10 21 28:66 -38 25

Top scorers

Premier Division
# Player Team Goals
1
T. Lonergan
Waterford
16
2
P. Amond
Waterford
14
3
C. Whelan
Bohemians
13
4
D. Horgan
Dundalk
12
5
R. Tierney
Bohemians
11
6
M. Doyle
Drogheda United
11
7
M. Duffy
Derry City
11
8
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
10
9
R. Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
10
10
A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
10

Recent form

Derry City

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Waterford 1-0 W
A Sligo Rovers 2-2 D
H Dundalk 2-1 W
H St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 W
A Drogheda United 2-0 L
A Galway United 0-2 W
H Galway United 1-0 W
A Waterford 2-2 D
A Shelbourne 0-1 W
H Dundalk 4-2 W

Dundalk

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Shamrock Rovers 3-1 W
A Derry City 2-1 L
A Sligo Rovers 1-1 D
H Bohemians 1-2 L
H Shelbourne 2-3 L
H St Patrick's Athl. 0-4 L
A Waterford 1-1 D
A Derry City 4-2 L
A Drogheda United 2-3 W
H Galway United 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.95

Derry City

1.65

xG

Match

1.65 – 1.30

Dundalk

1.30

xG

Our tip model

56%
24%
20%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

50%
26%
24%
Derry City Draw Dundalk

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Derry City Dundalk
83% Recent form 17%
50% Attack 50%
73% Defence 27%
59% Poisson 41%
62% Head-to-head 38%
58% Goals 42%
64% Overall 36%

Double chance : Derry City or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
8
7
16-30'
11
6
31-45'
5
7
46-60'
3
9
61-75'
2
13
76-90'
18
3
0-15'
6
9
16-30'
8
3
31-45'
11
11
46-60'
14
6
61-75'
8
11
76-90'
13

Side by side

Derry City Dundalk
34 Played 34
10 Won 10
14 Drawn 12
10 Lost 12
46 Goals for 51
44 Goals against 56
10 Clean sheets 5
8 Failed to score 3

Derry City vs Dundalk: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.80 odds).

Derry City are rated 56% by our tip model, with the draw at 24% and Dundalk at 20%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 78% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Derry City or draw

Derry City vs Dundalk FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.80 odds).

Who will win Derry City vs Dundalk?

Model lean: Derry City 56%, draw 24%, Dundalk 20%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 78% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Derry City vs Dundalk?

Friday, 23rd October 2026 at 18:45 UTC , Brandywell Stadium.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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