Drogheda United vs Derry City

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Drogheda United and Derry City enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Premier Division clash.

Ireland: Premier Division
Fri, 16th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 34
Drogheda United

Drogheda United

9th in table

L W W L L
FT
2 - 0
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table

L D W D W
7' Brandon Kavanagh
23' nick twisk
62' Edwin Agbaje
62' Thomas Oluwa
79' Jamie Stott
83' Mark Doyle
90+2' Jago Godden
Prediction: 1X (1.67 Odds) Won
Double Chance 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Drogheda United

1.25

1.25 – 1.20

Derry City

1.20

United Park, Drogheda L. Keating

Drogheda United

3.10

30% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Derry City

2.15

43% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Drogheda United vs Derry City

21%   Possession   79%

2   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

4   Corner Kicks   11

7   Fouls   7

0 3 0
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Drogheda United wins

4

Draws

2

Derry City wins

2.4

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

26 Jun 2026
Derry City
2-0
Drogheda United
08 May 2026
Drogheda United
1-0
Derry City
20 Mar 2026
Derry City
2-2
Drogheda United
26 Sep 2025
Drogheda United
1-1
Derry City
16 Aug 2025
Derry City
1-1
Drogheda United
27 Jun 2025
Derry City
3-0
Drogheda United
16 May 2025
Drogheda United
1-1
Derry City
11 Apr 2025
Derry City
1-3
Drogheda United
10 Nov 2024
Drogheda United
2-0
Derry City

Premier Division table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
36 20 8 8 59:38 21 68
2
Bohemians
36 19 8 9 63:44 19 65
3
St Patrick's Athl.
36 17 9 10 55:31 24 60
4
Shelbourne
36 12 13 11 52:50 2 49
5
Derry City
36 11 15 10 50:47 3 48
6
Dundalk
36 11 12 13 55:59 -4 45
7
Waterford
36 10 13 13 54:61 -7 43
8
Galway United
36 10 12 14 46:53 -7 42
9
Drogheda United
36 10 10 16 44:57 -13 40
10
Sligo Rovers
36 5 10 21 28:66 -38 25

Top scorers

Premier Division
# Player Team Goals
1
T. Lonergan
Waterford
16
2
P. Amond
Waterford
14
3
C. Whelan
Bohemians
13
4
D. Horgan
Dundalk
12
5
R. Tierney
Bohemians
11
6
M. Doyle
Drogheda United
11
7
M. Duffy
Derry City
11
8
J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
10
9
R. Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
10
10
A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
10

Recent form

Drogheda United

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A UCD 1-2 W
H Galway United 2-0 W
A Waterford 3-1 L
H Derry City 2-0 W
A Shamrock Rovers 3-1 L
A Trabzonspor 0-1 W
A Bohemians 2-1 L
A Shelbourne 1-2 W
H Sligo Rovers 2-0 W
H Galway United 1-2 L

Derry City

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Waterford 1-0 W
A Sligo Rovers 2-2 D
H Dundalk 2-1 W
H St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 W
A Drogheda United 2-0 L
A Galway United 0-2 W
H Galway United 1-0 W
A Waterford 2-2 D
A Shelbourne 0-1 W
H Dundalk 4-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Drogheda United

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 1.20

Derry City

1.20

xG

Our tip model

60%
22%
18%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

30%
28%
43%
Drogheda United Draw Derry City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Drogheda United Derry City
43% Recent form 57%
44% Attack 56%
53% Defence 47%
48% Poisson 52%
62% Head-to-head 38%
50% Goals 50%
50% Overall 50%

Double chance : Drogheda United or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

8
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
7
7
31-45'
6
6
46-60'
7
10
61-75'
8
7
76-90'
13
5
0-15'
2
13
16-30'
9
8
31-45'
3
7
46-60'
11
9
61-75'
6
9
76-90'
10

Side by side

Drogheda United Derry City
33 Played 32
8 Won 9
10 Drawn 14
15 Lost 9
39 Goals for 45
54 Goals against 42
9 Clean sheets 9
8 Failed to score 7

Drogheda United vs Derry City: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Drogheda United are rated 60% by our tip model, with the draw at 22% and Derry City at 18%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Double chance : Drogheda United or draw

Drogheda United vs Derry City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Who will win Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Model lean: Drogheda United 60%, draw 22%, Derry City 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Friday, 16th October 2026 at 18:45 UTC , United Park.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links