Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Premier Division clash.

Ireland: Premier Division
Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 33
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table

D W D W L
FT
1 - 0
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

3rd in table

L W W W L
21' Darragh Burns
53' Anthony Olusanya
62' Kévin Santos
70' James Clarke
80' Christopher Forrester
Prediction: 1X (1.67 Odds) Won
Double Chance 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Derry City

1.30

1.30 – 1.25

St Patrick's Athl.

1.25

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry Aaron O'Dowd

Derry City

3.30

28% implied

Draw

3.40

27% implied

St Patrick's Athl.

2.00

46% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.

47%   Possession   53%

3   Shots on Target   5

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   10

10   Fouls   4

0 2 3
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Derry City wins

4

Draws

2

St Patrick's Athl. wins

1.6

Goals / game

22%

Both scored

22%

Over 2.5

02 Aug 2026
St Patrick's Athl.
1-1
Derry City
22 May 2026
Derry City
0-0
St Patrick's Athl.
16 Mar 2026
St Patrick's Athl.
0-0
Derry City
29 Aug 2025
Derry City
2-2
St Patrick's Athl.
23 Jun 2025
St Patrick's Athl.
0-1
Derry City
05 May 2025
Derry City
1-0
St Patrick's Athl.
03 Mar 2025
St Patrick's Athl.
2-0
Derry City
25 Oct 2024
St Patrick's Athl.
1-0
Derry City
21 Jul 2024
Derry City
3-0
St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
36 20 8 8 59:38 21 68
2
Bohemians
36 19 8 9 63:44 19 65
3
St Patrick's Athl.
36 17 9 10 55:31 24 60
4
Shelbourne
36 12 13 11 52:50 2 49
5
Derry City
36 11 15 10 50:47 3 48
6
Dundalk
36 11 12 13 55:59 -4 45
7
Waterford
36 10 13 13 54:61 -7 43
8
Galway United
36 10 12 14 46:53 -7 42
9
Drogheda United
36 10 10 16 44:57 -13 40
10
Sligo Rovers
36 5 10 21 28:66 -38 25

Recent form

Derry City

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Waterford 1-0 W
A Sligo Rovers 2-2 D
H Dundalk 2-1 W
H St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 W
A Drogheda United 2-0 L
A Galway United 0-2 W
H Galway United 1-0 W
A Waterford 2-2 D
A Shelbourne 0-1 W
H Dundalk 4-2 W

St Patrick's Athl.

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Bohemians 2-3 L
A Galway United 0-0 D
A Derry City 1-0 L
H Shelbourne 1-2 L
A Sligo Rovers 0-1 W
A Dundalk 0-4 W
H Shamrock Rovers 2-0 W
H Waterford 0-2 L
A Drogheda United 0-2 W
A Shelbourne 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Derry City

1.30

xG

Match

1.30 – 1.25

St Patrick's Athl.

1.25

xG

Our tip model

60%
22%
18%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

28%
27%
46%
Derry City Draw St Patrick's Athl.

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Derry City St Patrick's Athl.
47% Recent form 53%
47% Attack 53%
36% Defence 64%
46% Poisson 54%
64% Head-to-head 36%
57% Goals 43%
50% Overall 51%

Double chance : Derry City or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
9
7
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
9
8
61-75'
7
13
76-90'
11
3
0-15'
6
9
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
5
11
46-60'
2
6
61-75'
7
11
76-90'
6

Side by side

Derry City St Patrick's Athl.
33 Played 33
9 Won 17
14 Drawn 8
10 Lost 8
45 Goals for 53
44 Goals against 27
9 Clean sheets 13
8 Failed to score 10

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Derry City are rated 60% by our tip model, with the draw at 22% and St Patrick's Athl. at 18%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 1.6 goals per game, with BTTS in 22% and over 2.5 in 22%.

Double chance : Derry City or draw

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Model lean: Derry City 60%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 22% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 22% of the time.

When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Monday, 19th October 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Brandywell Stadium.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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