Bahia vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Preview

Bahia and Sao Paulo enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Serie A clash.

Serie A Serie A

Thu, Oct 29, 2026 |

Bahia

3
00:30
VS

Sao Paulo

2

Our Expert Prediction

Tip

X2

Odds

1.73

Probability

58%

Match Odds

Home Win

2.05

Draw

3.50

Away Win

3.60

Expected Goals (xG)

A measure of shot quality — higher xG means more dangerous chances created

Bahia
1.13
Sao Paulo
0.89

Match Statistics

Bahia vs Sao Paulo

47%   Possession   53%

4   Shots on Target   6

81%   Pass Accuracy   86%

7   Corner Kicks   11

12   Fouls   13

0 2 0
3 3 0

Head to Head History

Previous encounters between Bahia and Sao Paulo

Sun, May 3, 2026
19:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
00:30
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Sat, May 31, 2025
21:30
Bahia
Bahia
2 - 1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
Wed, Nov 6, 2024
00:30
Bahia
Bahia
0 - 3
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
Sun, Jun 30, 2024
19:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Wed, Nov 29, 2023
23:00
Bahia
Bahia
0 - 1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
Sun, Jul 30, 2023
14:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
0 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Sun, Nov 7, 2021
21:15
Bahia
Bahia
1 - 0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
Sat, Jul 10, 2021
22:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A

Bahia - Recent Matches

Thu, Oct 29
00:30
Bahia
Bahia
3 - 2
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
W
Sun, Oct 25
00:00
Santos
Santos
1 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
D
Sun, Oct 18
21:30
Bahia
Bahia
0 - 3
Flamengo
Flamengo
League Serie A
L
Sun, Oct 11
22:30
Bahia
Bahia
1 - 0
Mirassol
Mirassol
League Serie A
W
Fri, Oct 9
00:30
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
L
Sun, Sep 20
22:30
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
L
Mon, Sep 14
23:00
Bahia
Bahia
2 - 1
Remo
Remo
League Serie A
W
Sat, Sep 5
19:00
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
2 - 3
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
W
Sun, Aug 30
22:30
Bahia
Bahia
3 - 2
Internacional
Internacional
League Serie A
W
Sun, Aug 23
19:00
Vitoria
Vitoria
0 - 2
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
W

Bahia Form Analysis

Bahia come into this fixture in mixed form, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 during that run, averaging 1 goals per game. Key contributors in front of goal include Luciano Juba (2 goals), Rodrigo and Erick Pulga. Their most recent outing ended in a victory against Sao Paulo (3–2) in the Serie A. Consistency will be key if they are to get a positive result here.

Sao Paulo - Recent Matches

Thu, Oct 29
00:30
Bahia
Bahia
3 - 2
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
L
Sat, Oct 24
19:30
Mirassol
Mirassol
1 - 1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
D
Sun, Oct 18
00:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
League Serie A
W
Sun, Oct 11
00:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Vitoria
Vitoria
League Serie A
W
Thu, Oct 8
00:30
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
2 - 0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
L
Fri, Oct 2
23:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
L
Sun, Sep 20
00:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Internacional
Internacional
League Serie A
W
Wed, Sep 16
00:30
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
League CONMEBOL Sudamericana
D
Sat, Sep 12
21:30
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League Serie A
L
Wed, Sep 9
00:30
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
League CONMEBOL Sudamericana
L

Sao Paulo Form Analysis

Sao Paulo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across their last 5 fixtures. They have netted 6 goals and let in 7, averaging 1.2 goals per game going forward. Key contributors in front of goal include Lucas Moura, D. Bobadilla and Pedro Lima. Most recently, they recorded a defeat against Bahia (2–3) in the Serie A. A disciplined display could see them pick up a point or more.

Injury & Suspension Report

Bahia

Kanu
Yellow Cards
Leo Vieira
Knee Injury

Sao Paulo

Artur
Back Injury
N. Bosshardt
Knee Injury
Buta
Knee Injury
D. Duarte
Knee Injury
Ferreira
Injury
Iago Borduchi
Yellow Cards
Marcos Antonio
Ankle Injury

Serie A - Standings

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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