Santos vs Bahia Prediction & Preview

Santos arrive in strong form (WWDLW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Bahia at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, with our model giving this a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

Serie A Serie A

Sun, Oct 25, 2026 |

Santos

1
00:00
VS

Bahia

1

Our Expert Prediction

Tip

1X

Odds

1.25

Probability

80%

Match Odds

Home Win

1.91

Draw

3.60

Away Win

3.90

Expected Goals (xG)

A measure of shot quality — higher xG means more dangerous chances created

Santos
2.59
Bahia
1.78

Match Statistics

Santos vs Bahia

56%   Possession   44%

11   Shots on Target   2

0   Pass Accuracy   0

14   Corner Kicks   8

13   Fouls   23

1 2 2
2 2 0

Head to Head History

Previous encounters between Santos and Bahia

Sat, Apr 25, 2026
21:30
Bahia
Bahia
2 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
Sun, Aug 24, 2025
19:00
Bahia
Bahia
2 - 0
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
Sun, Apr 6, 2025
23:30
Santos
Santos
2 - 2
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Mon, Sep 18, 2023
23:00
Bahia
Bahia
1 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
Wed, May 31, 2023
22:00
Bahia
Bahia
1 - 1
Santos
Santos
League Copa Do Brasil
Wed, May 17, 2023
22:00
Santos
Santos
0 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Copa Do Brasil
Wed, May 10, 2023
22:00
Santos
Santos
3 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Sun, Sep 12, 2021
00:00
Santos
Santos
0 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
Sat, May 29, 2021
23:00
Bahia
Bahia
3 - 0
Santos
Santos
League Serie A

Santos - Recent Matches

Sun, Oct 25
00:00
Santos
Santos
1 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
D
Sun, Oct 18
19:00
Fluminense
Fluminense
1 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
W
Sun, Oct 11
19:00
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
L
Thu, Oct 8
22:30
Santos
Santos
2 - 2
Flamengo
Flamengo
League Serie A
D
Fri, Oct 2
23:00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
W
Sat, Sep 19
21:30
Remo
Remo
1 - 2
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
W
Sun, Sep 13
00:00
Santos
Santos
2 - 1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
League Serie A
W
Wed, Sep 9
22:00
Santos
Santos
2 - 0
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
League CONMEBOL Sudamericana
W
Sun, Sep 6
19:00
Internacional
Internacional
2 - 3
Santos
Santos
League Serie A
W
Thu, Sep 3
00:30
Santos
Santos
0 - 0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
League Copa Do Brasil
D

Santos Form Analysis

Santos come into this fixture in mixed form, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 during that run, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Key contributors in front of goal include Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals), Neymar (2 goals) and Luan Peres. Their most recent outing ended in a draw against Bahia (1–1) in the Serie A. Consistency will be key if they are to get a positive result here.

Bahia - Recent Matches

Sun, Oct 25
00:00
Santos
Santos
1 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
D
Sun, Oct 18
21:30
Bahia
Bahia
0 - 3
Flamengo
Flamengo
League Serie A
L
Sun, Oct 11
22:30
Bahia
Bahia
1 - 0
Mirassol
Mirassol
League Serie A
W
Fri, Oct 9
00:30
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
L
Sun, Sep 20
22:30
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
L
Mon, Sep 14
23:00
Bahia
Bahia
2 - 1
Remo
Remo
League Serie A
W
Sat, Sep 5
19:00
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino
2 - 3
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
W
Sun, Aug 30
22:30
Bahia
Bahia
3 - 2
Internacional
Internacional
League Serie A
W
Sun, Aug 23
19:00
Vitoria
Vitoria
0 - 2
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
W
Sun, Aug 16
14:00
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
3 - 3
Bahia
Bahia
League Serie A
D

Bahia Form Analysis

Bahia arrive in poor form, with 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across their last 5 fixtures. They have netted 3 goals and let in 7, averaging 0.6 goals per game going forward. Key contributors in front of goal include Luciano (2 goals), Erick Pulga and Everaldo. Most recently, they recorded a draw against Santos (1–1) in the Serie A. They will need a significant improvement to get anything from this match.

Injury & Suspension Report

Santos

Arthur Melo
Muscle Injury
G. Escobar
Inactive
Gabriel Brazao
Shoulder Injury
Lucas Verissimo
Injury
Vinicius Lira
Knee Injury
Willian Arao
Inactive

Bahia

R. Gomez
Yellow Cards
Jean Lucas
Yellow Cards
Leo Vieira
Knee Injury

Serie A - Standings

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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