Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Newells Old Boys travel in excellent form (WWDWD) while Velez Sarsfield have struggled recently (LLWDD), making X2 at odds of 2.25 our pick.

Argentina: Liga Profesional Argentina
Mon, 4th May, 2026 Apertura - 9
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in table

L L W D D
FT
1 - 1
Newells Old Boys

Newells Old Boys

14th in table

W W D W D
13' Luca Regiardo
42' Facundo Guch
52' Nicolás Goitea
56' F. Monzon
58' Claudio Baeza
62' I. Ramirez
71' Luciano Herrera
84' Jeronimo Russo
90+1' Aarón Quirós
Prediction: X2 (2.25 Odds)
Double Chance 44% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Velez Sarsfield

1.70

1.70 – 0.90

Newells Old Boys

0.90

Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

1.62

59% implied

Draw

3.60

26% implied

Newells Old Boys

6.50

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.37 73%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.63 61%
Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 2.25 44%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys

61%   Possession   39%

3   Shots on Target   5

85%   Pass Accuracy   74%

7   Corner Kicks   4

10   Fouls   12

0 2 2
4 5 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

5

Velez Sarsfield wins

0

Draws

2

Newells Old Boys wins

1.7

Goals / game

29%

Both scored

29%

Over 2.5

21 May 2024
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Newells Old Boys
03 Feb 2023
Newells Old Boys
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
03 Sep 2022
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Newells Old Boys
09 Oct 2021
Newells Old Boys
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
13 Feb 2021
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Newells Old Boys
03 Jan 2021
Newells Old Boys
0-1
Velez Sarsfield
24 Aug 2019
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Newells Old Boys

Liga Profesional Argentina table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.
16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
2
Boca Juniors
16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
4
Talleres Cordoba
16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
5
Independiente
16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
6
Lanus
16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
7
San Lorenzo
16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
8
Union Santa Fe
16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
9
Instituto Cordoba
16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
10
Defensa Y Justicia
16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
11
Gimnasia M.
16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
12
Platense
16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
13
Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
14
Newells Old Boys
16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
15
Deportivo Riestra
16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina
# Player Team Goals
1
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
15
2
A. Módica
Gimnasia M.
14
3
J. Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
14
4
J. Caicedo
Huracan
14
5
R. Martínez
Velez Sarsfield
13
6
G. Ávalos
Independiente
11
7
Á. Di María
Rosario Central
11
8
M. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
10
9
M. Merentiel
Boca Juniors
9
10
J. Florentín
Independ. Rivadavia
9

Recent form

Velez Sarsfield

4 W 5 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H San Lorenzo 2-2 D
A Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-5 W
H Gimnasia M. 1-0 W
A Lanus 2-0 L
H Platense 2-2 D
H Tigre 3-2 W
A Newells Old Boys 1-1 D
H Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 W
A Deportivo Riestra 1-1 D
A River Plate 2-2 D

Newells Old Boys

3 W 6 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Union Santa Fe 1-1 D
A San Lorenzo 0-0 D
H Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-1 W
A Gimnasia M. 1-0 L
H Lanus 0-0 D
A Platense 0-1 W
H Velez Sarsfield 1-1 D
A Rosario Central 1-1 D
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Banfield 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.60

Velez Sarsfield

1.70

xG

Match

1.70 – 0.90

Newells Old Boys

0.90

xG

Our tip model

25%
31%
44%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

59%
26%
15%
Velez Sarsfield Draw Newells Old Boys

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Velez Sarsfield Newells Old Boys
31% Recent form 69%
38% Attack 62%
40% Defence 60%
71% Poisson 29%
60% Head-to-head 40%
57% Goals 43%
50% Overall 51%

Double chance : draw or Newells Old Boys

Season numbers

When the goals come

6
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
9
1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
7
0
46-60'
7
2
61-75'
4
2
76-90'
5

Side by side

Velez Sarsfield Newells Old Boys
15 Played 15
7 Won 3
6 Drawn 5
2 Lost 7
17 Goals for 14
11 Goals against 26
7 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 6

What comes next

Newells Old Boys

Instituto Cordoba (A) 08 Nov MID

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.25 odds).

Velez Sarsfield are rated 25% by our tip model, with the draw at 31% and Newells Old Boys at 44%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 29% and over 2.5 in 29%.

Double chance : draw or Newells Old Boys

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys FAQs

What is the best prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.25 odds).

Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Model lean: Velez Sarsfield 25%, draw 31%, Newells Old Boys 44%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 29% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 29% of the time.

When is Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Monday, 4th May 2026 at 22:15 UTC .

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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