Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Stenhousemuir and Morton enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.62 (62% probability) to edge the FA Cup clash.

Scotland: FA Cup
Sat, 17th Jan, 2026 Round of 32
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

W
FT
4 - 0
Morton

Morton

W
27' C. Blues
34' K. Bilham
39' R. Meechan
43' G. Buchanan
45' M. Aitken
64' I. Wilson
65' G. Buchanan
80' M. Aitken
Prediction: 1X (1.62 Odds) Won
Double Chance 62% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.00

Stenhousemuir

3.00

3.00 – 2.00

Morton

2.00

Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

2.90

32% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Morton

2.25

41% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.62 62%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

0

Stenhousemuir wins

0

Draws

3

Morton wins

2

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

15 Jul 2025
Morton
3-0
Stenhousemuir
28 Jun 2022
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Morton
21 Jul 2018
Morton
2-0
Stenhousemuir

Recent form

Stenhousemuir

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Morton 4-3 L
H Berwick Rangers 4-1 W
H Livingston 0-3 L
H Dunfermline 0-1 L
A Partick 3-0 L
H Raith Rovers 1-1 D
A Inverness CT 2-0 L
A Ayr Utd 0-1 W
H Arbroath 1-0 W
H Partick 1-0 W

Morton

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Stenhousemuir 4-3 W
H Kelty Hearts 0-1 L
A Partick 2-3 W
H Queen's Park 2-0 W
A Arbroath 1-2 W
H Raith Rovers 1-2 L
A Inverness CT 2-0 L
H Dunfermline 0-1 L
H Livingston 1-4 L
A Queen's Park 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.00

Stenhousemuir

3.00

xG

Match

3.00 – 2.00

Morton

2.00

xG

Our tip model

62%
21%
17%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

32%
28%
41%
Stenhousemuir Draw Morton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Stenhousemuir Morton
50% Recent form 50%
57% Attack 43%
67% Defence 33%
71% Poisson 29%
0% Head-to-head 100%
0% Goals 100%
61% Overall 39%

Combo Winner : Stenhousemuir and +2.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Stenhousemuir Morton
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals for 3
1 Goals against 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Stenhousemuir

Queen's Park (H) 14 Nov MID
Arbroath (A) 21 Nov MID
Ross County (A) 24 Nov MID
East Fife (H) 28 Nov MID

Morton

Livingston (A) 14 Nov MID
Dunfermline (A) 21 Nov MID
Annan Athletic (A) 28 Nov MID
Ayr Utd (H) 01 Dec MID

Stenhousemuir vs Morton: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.62 odds).

Stenhousemuir are rated 62% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Morton at 17%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Combo Winner : Stenhousemuir and +2.5 goals

Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.62 odds).

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

Model lean: Stenhousemuir 62%, draw 21%, Morton 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

Saturday, 17th January 2026 at 15:00 UTC , Ochilview Park.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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