Ukraine vs Sweden

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Ukraine arrive in strong form (DWWLW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Sweden, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

World: World Cup - Qualification Europe
Thu, 26th Mar, 2026 Semi-finals
Ukraine

Ukraine

D W W L W
FT
1 - 3
Sweden

Sweden

L L L L D
6' V. Gyokeres
51' V. Gyokeres
56' Oleksandr Tymchyk
71' Anatoliy Trubin
73' V. Gyokeres
75' Kristoffer Nordfeldt
90' M. Ponomarenko
Prediction: 1X (1.50 Odds)
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Ukraine

2.00

2.00 – 1.00

Sweden

1.00

Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia J. Pinheiro

Ukraine

3.00

32% implied

Draw

3.10

31% implied

Sweden

2.55

37% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.33 75%
Free Tip Free

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.33 75%
Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.50 67%
Draws Free

X

Odds 3.20 31%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Ukraine vs Sweden

68%   Possession   32%

4   Shots on Target   4

84%   Pass Accuracy   75%

9   Corner Kicks   3

12   Fouls   10

0 2 5
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

2

Ukraine wins

0

Draws

0

Sweden wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

29 Jun 2021
Sweden
1-2
Ukraine
11 Jun 2012
Ukraine
2-1
Sweden

Recent form

Ukraine

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hungary 1-2 L
H Northern Ireland 0-3 L
A Georgia 0-0 D
A Hungary 0-1 W
A Denmark 2-1 L
A Poland 0-2 W
H Albania 1-0 W
H Sweden 1-3 L
H Iceland 2-0 W
A France 4-0 L

Sweden

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Romania 0-1 W
A Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 D
H Poland 3-1 W
H Romania 2-1 W
A France 3-0 L
A Japan 1-1 D
A Netherlands 5-1 L
H Tunisia 5-1 W
H Greece 2-2 D
A Norway 3-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Ukraine

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 1.00

Sweden

1.00

xG

Our tip model

67%
18%
15%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

32%
31%
37%
Ukraine Draw Sweden

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Ukraine Sweden
91% Recent form 9%
83% Attack 17%
53% Defence 47%
73% Poisson 27%
100% Head-to-head 0%
67% Goals 33%
73% Overall 27%

Double chance : Ukraine or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
3

Side by side

Ukraine Sweden
6 Played 6
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 2
2 Lost 4
10 Goals for 4
11 Goals against 12
1 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Ukraine

Northern Ireland (A) 14 Nov MID
Georgia (H) 17 Nov MID

Sweden

Bosnia & Herzegovina (H) 14 Nov MID
Poland (A) 17 Nov MID

Ukraine vs Sweden: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Ukraine are rated 67% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Sweden at 15%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : Ukraine or draw

Ukraine vs Sweden FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ukraine vs Sweden?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Who will win Ukraine vs Sweden?

Model lean: Ukraine 67%, draw 18%, Sweden 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Ukraine vs Sweden?

Thursday, 26th March 2026 at 19:45 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links