Poland vs Albania

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Poland and Albania enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 2.20 (45% probability) to edge the World Cup - Qualification Europe clash.

World: World Cup - Qualification Europe
Thu, 26th Mar, 2026 Semi-finals
Poland

Poland

D W W D W
FT
2 - 1
Albania

Albania

D W W W L
34' Mario Mitaj
42' A. Hoxha
63' R. Lewandowski
73' P. Zielinski
79' Elseid Hysaj
87' Robert Lewandowski
88' Kristjan Asllani
90+4' Karol Świderski
Prediction: yes (2.20 Odds)
BTTS/GG 45% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.95

Poland

1.30

1.30 – 0.65

Albania

0.65

PGE Narodowy, Warsaw A. Taylor

Poland

1.67

57% implied

Draw

3.50

27% implied

Albania

5.75

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.43 70%
1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.44 69%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.67 60%
BTTS/GG Free

yes

Odds 2.20 45%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Poland vs Albania

50%   Possession   50%

4   Shots on Target   2

88%   Pass Accuracy   82%

6   Corner Kicks   2

20   Fouls   12

0 2 2
0 3 0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

3

Poland wins

0

Draws

1

Albania wins

2.3

Goals / game

25%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

10 Sep 2023
Albania
2-0
Poland
27 Mar 2023
Poland
1-0
Albania
12 Oct 2021
Albania
0-1
Poland
02 Sep 2021
Poland
4-1
Albania

Recent form

Poland

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 L
H Romania 6-0 W
A Sweden 3-1 L
H Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-0 D
H Nigeria 2-2 D
H Ukraine 0-2 L
A Sweden 3-2 L
H Albania 2-1 W
A Malta 2-3 W
H Netherlands 1-1 D

Albania

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H San Marino 2-1 W
A Finland 2-1 L
A San Marino 0-3 W
H Belarus 2-0 W
H Luxembourg 0-1 L
H Israel 0-1 L
A Ukraine 1-0 L
A Poland 2-1 L
H England 0-2 L
A Andorra 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.95

Poland

1.30

xG

Match

1.30 – 0.65

Albania

0.65

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

57%
27%
16%
Poland Draw Albania

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Poland Albania
52% Recent form 48%
71% Attack 29%
38% Defence 63%
72% Poisson 28%
75% Head-to-head 25%
67% Goals 33%
63% Overall 38%

Combo Double chance : Poland or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Poland Albania
8 Played 8
5 Won 4
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 2
14 Goals for 7
7 Goals against 5
3 Clean sheets 5
0 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Poland

Romania (A) 14 Nov MID
Sweden (H) 17 Nov MID

Albania

Finland (H) 12 Nov MID
Belarus (A) 15 Nov MID

Poland vs Albania: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.20 odds).

Poland are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Albania at 10%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 25% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : Poland or draw and -3.5 goals

Poland vs Albania FAQs

What is the best prediction for Poland vs Albania?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.20 odds).

Who will win Poland vs Albania?

Model lean: Poland 45%, draw 45%, Albania 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 25% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Poland vs Albania?

Thursday, 26th March 2026 at 19:45 UTC , PGE Narodowy.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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