Pro Sesto vs Progresso

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Pro Sesto and Progresso enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on BTS at odds of 1.77 (57% probability) to edge the Serie D - Girone D clash.

Italy: Serie D - Girone D
Tue, 6th Jan, 2026 Group D - 18
Pro Sesto

Pro Sesto

6th in table

W W L W W
FT
0 - 2
Progresso

Progresso

W W L W W
53' R. Cestaro
90' J. Finessi
Prediction: BTS (1.77 Odds) Lost
BTTS/GG 57% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Pro Sesto

1.45

1.45 – 0.95

Progresso

0.95

Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

Pro Sesto

2.02

45% implied

Draw

3.45

27% implied

Progresso

3.24

28% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

BTTS/GG Lost

BTS

Odds 1.77 57%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Pro Sesto wins

0

Draws

0

Progresso wins

1

Goals / game

0%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

07 Sep 2025
Progresso
0-1
Pro Sesto

Serie D - Girone D table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Pistoiese
11 9 1 1 24:5 19 28
2
Lentigione
11 7 3 1 18:10 8 24
3
Pro Patria
11 6 3 2 14:7 7 21
4
Castellanzese
11 6 1 4 19:11 8 19
5
USD Casatese
11 6 1 4 15:14 1 19
6
Pro Sesto
11 5 3 3 23:11 12 18
7
Cittadella Vis Modena
11 5 2 4 12:9 3 17
8
Solbiatese
11 4 5 2 12:10 2 17
9
Sant'Angelo
11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
10
Crema
11 4 3 4 14:17 -3 15
11
Città di Varese
11 3 5 3 17:13 4 14
12
Pavia
11 3 5 3 12:9 3 14
13
Correggese
11 3 3 5 12:19 -7 12
14
Varesina
11 2 5 4 14:16 -2 11
15
Coriano
11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
16
Pontedera
11 2 1 8 11:27 -16 7
17
Arconatese
11 1 3 7 11:26 -15 6
18
Oltrepò
11 1 2 8 5:24 -19 5

Recent form

Pro Sesto

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Correggese 4-2 W
A USD Casatese 1-0 L
H Sant'Angelo 1-2 L
A Varesina 0-0 D
H Solbiatese 1-1 D
A Arconatese 1-1 D
H Oltrepò 6-1 W
A Crema 0-3 W
H Pontedera 3-0 W
A Città di Varese 0-2 W

Progresso

2 W 0 D 8 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 3-1 W
A Sasso Marconi Zola 4-0 L
H Ternana 0-1 L
A Grassina 1-0 L
H Robur Siena 0-1 L
A Rondinella 2-1 L
A Montevarchi Calcio 2-0 L
H Seravezza 0-3 L
A Lucchese 5-0 L
H Scandicci 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Pro Sesto

1.45

xG

Match

1.45 – 0.95

Progresso

0.95

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

45%
27%
28%
Pro Sesto Draw Progresso

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Pro Sesto Progresso
50% Recent form 50%
47% Attack 53%
67% Defence 33%
75% Poisson 25%
100% Head-to-head 0%
100% Goals 0%
60% Overall 40%

Double chance : Pro Sesto or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
3
7
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
6
1
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
6
1
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
5

Side by side

Pro Sesto Progresso
17 Played 17
10 Won 5
5 Drawn 4
2 Lost 8
24 Goals for 19
9 Goals against 22
11 Clean sheets 3
5 Failed to score 6

What comes next

Pro Sesto

Pavia (A) 15 Nov EASY
Pistoiese (H) 22 Nov HARD
Castellanzese (A) 29 Nov HARD
Pro Patria (H) 06 Dec HARD

Progresso

Terranuova Traiana (A) 15 Nov MID
San Donato Tavarnelle (H) 22 Nov MID
Gavorrano (A) 29 Nov MID
Flaminia (H) 06 Dec MID

Pro Sesto vs Progresso: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: BTS (1.77 odds).

Pro Sesto are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Progresso at 10%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 1 goals per game, with BTTS in 0% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : Pro Sesto or draw

Pro Sesto vs Progresso FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pro Sesto vs Progresso?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: BTS (1.77 odds).

Who will win Pro Sesto vs Progresso?

Model lean: Pro Sesto 45%, draw 45%, Progresso 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 0% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Pro Sesto vs Progresso?

Tuesday, 6th January 2026 at 13:30 UTC , Stadio Ernesto Breda.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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