FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Freiburg II travel in excellent form (WWWLL) while FSV Mainz 05 II have struggled recently (DLWDD), making X2 at odds of 1.91 our pick for the meeting at Stadion am Bruchweg.

Germany: Regionalliga - SudWest
Sat, 16th May, 2026 Südwest - 34
FSV Mainz 05 II

FSV Mainz 05 II

15th in table

D L W D D
FT
0 - 4
Freiburg II

Freiburg II

8th in table

W W W L L
44' D. Kyereh
50' M. Zelic
54' L. Catak
62' D. Amegnaglo
Prediction: X2 (1.91 Odds) Won
Double Chance 52% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.20

FSV Mainz 05 II

1.85

1.85 – 1.35

Freiburg II

1.35

Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05 II

1.75

51% implied

Draw

4.00

22% implied

Freiburg II

3.40

26% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Lost

-3.5

Odds 1.80 56%
Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.91 52%

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

2

FSV Mainz 05 II wins

0

Draws

4

Freiburg II wins

4.2

Goals / game

83%

Both scored

83%

Over 2.5

16 Nov 2025
Freiburg II
2-1
FSV Mainz 05 II
17 May 2025
Freiburg II
1-3
FSV Mainz 05 II
16 Nov 2024
FSV Mainz 05 II
0-1
Freiburg II
28 Feb 2021
Freiburg II
3-1
FSV Mainz 05 II
19 Sep 2020
FSV Mainz 05 II
2-6
Freiburg II
29 Sep 2019
FSV Mainz 05 II
3-2
Freiburg II

Regionalliga - SudWest table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
VfR Mannheim
15 9 5 1 26:11 15 32
2
SGV Freiberg
15 8 7 0 36:14 22 31
3
VfR Aalen
15 9 3 3 27:15 12 30
4
Kickers Offenbach
15 8 3 4 29:20 9 27
5
Stuttgarter Kickers
15 8 2 5 25:19 6 26
6
Eintracht Trier
15 8 2 5 18:18 0 26
7
FC 08 Homburg
15 6 6 3 22:17 5 24
8
Freiburg II
15 5 6 4 26:21 5 21
9
TSV Steinbach
15 5 5 5 24:22 2 20
10
SV Sandhausen
15 5 5 5 22:25 -3 20
11
Eintracht Frankfurt II
15 5 2 8 19:23 -4 17
12
Hessen Kassel
15 5 2 8 25:32 -7 17
13
FSV Frankfurt
15 3 5 7 23:29 -6 14
14
FC Astoria Walldorf
15 3 5 7 20:26 -6 14
15
FSV Mainz 05 II
15 4 2 9 16:29 -13 14
16
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
15 3 3 9 18:30 -12 12
17
SSV Ulm 1846
15 1 8 6 17:25 -8 11
18
Kaiserslautern II
15 2 5 8 16:33 -17 11

Recent form

FSV Mainz 05 II

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Eintracht Trier 2-1 L
H SV Sandhausen 2-1 W
A Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 3-1 L
H SSV Ulm 1846 1-1 D
A FC Astoria Walldorf 1-1 D
H Freiburg II 0-2 L
A Hessen Kassel 1-2 W
H Kaiserslautern II 0-1 L
A SGV Freiberg 5-0 L
H VfR Mannheim 1-2 L

Freiburg II

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Kickers Offenbach 2-1 L
H SSV Ulm 1846 1-1 D
H Eintracht Frankfurt II 2-1 W
A Kaiserslautern II 2-2 D
A FC 08 Homburg 2-1 L
H SGV Freiberg 1-2 L
A FSV Mainz 05 II 0-2 W
A Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2-3 W
H SV Sandhausen 1-2 L
A Eintracht Trier 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.20

FSV Mainz 05 II

1.85

xG

Match

1.85 – 1.35

Freiburg II

1.35

xG

Our tip model

22%
26%
52%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

51%
22%
26%
FSV Mainz 05 II Draw Freiburg II

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05 II Freiburg II
40% Recent form 60%
29% Attack 71%
63% Defence 38%
63% Poisson 37%
20% Head-to-head 80%
35% Goals 65%
42% Overall 59%

Double chance : draw or Freiburg II

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
9
10
16-30'
15
8
31-45'
12
11
46-60'
11
6
61-75'
8
11
76-90'
15
6
0-15'
11
4
16-30'
11
5
31-45'
19
7
46-60'
12
6
61-75'
14
15
76-90'
6

Side by side

FSV Mainz 05 II Freiburg II
33 Played 33
14 Won 13
11 Drawn 6
8 Lost 14
52 Goals for 70
41 Goals against 73
7 Clean sheets 3
6 Failed to score 2

What comes next

FSV Mainz 05 II

TSV Steinbach (H) 20 Nov MID
Eintracht Frankfurt II (A) 25 Nov MID
FC 08 Homburg (H) 29 Nov MID
FSV Frankfurt (A) 05 Dec EASY

Freiburg II

FC Astoria Walldorf (H) 14 Nov EASY
FSV Frankfurt (A) 21 Nov EASY
VfR Aalen (H) 28 Nov HARD
Hessen Kassel (A) 05 Dec EASY

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.91 odds).

FSV Mainz 05 II are rated 22% by our tip model, with the draw at 26% and Freiburg II at 52%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 4.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 83% and over 2.5 in 83%.

Double chance : draw or Freiburg II

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.91 odds).

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?

Model lean: FSV Mainz 05 II 22%, draw 26%, Freiburg II 52%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 83% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 83% of the time.

When is FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?

Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 12:00 UTC , Stadion am Bruchweg.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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